AI-POWERED PROFIT GROWTH

AirPro Supply Achieves 3.8X Contractor Retention with Value-Based Bidding

Leading HVAC superstore AirPro Supply transformed their customer acquisition strategy by partnering with AdZeta to focus on predicted lifetime value, significantly boosting high-value contractor relationships and optimizing ad spend across their extensive product catalog.

PROJECT HIGHLIGHTS
01

AirPro's Business:

AirPro Supply is an e-commerce superstore specializing in HVAC equipment, custom sheet metal, air conditioners, heat pumps, and related products serving both professional contractors and end-users. Their business model focuses on competitive pricing, extensive inventory, and technical expertise for complex HVAC installations.

02

The Value Detection Challenge:

With a diverse customer base spanning one-time DIY purchasers to recurring professional contractors, AirPro found standard ad metrics (CPA for first purchase) didn't identify which customers would become high-value recurring buyers versus one-time purchasers, making sustainable growth challenging.

03

Prior Ad Strategy:

Relied on optimizing Google & Meta ads for initial equipment sales or website visits, leading to unpredictable customer retention and difficulty scaling profitable customer acquisition across their extensive product catalog.

04

Enter AdZeta:

AdZeta implemented its Predictive AI to forecast customer LTV from initial interactions, enabling Value-Based Bidding focused on acquiring high-potential contractors and repeat purchasers rather than one-time buyers.

05

Strategic Implementation:

Leveraged first-party data to train LTV models, then integrated predictive signals with Google (tROAS) and Meta (Value Optimization) campaigns. A/B tested against previous strategy with specific focus on contractor segments.

06

Remarkable Results:

Secured a 3.8x increase in contractor retention while reducing customer acquisition costs by 45% for high-value segments, all thanks to AdZeta's predictive LTV insights.

Understanding the Problem

The Challenge: Blind Spend & Missed LTV Opportunities

How traditional HVAC e-commerce advertising often fails to identify and efficiently target high-value contractors, leading to wasted budget.

HVAC funnel
without
AdZeta
All HVAC Visitors
Optimization event
Equipment Purchase
Mixed Customers
Low Retention
HVAC funnel
with
AdZeta
Targeted HVAC Traffic
Quality Contractors
Optimization event
Contractor Retention
High Retention
01
Blind Spend Without Optimization

HVAC e-commerce businesses spend millions on customer acquisition with no way to identify which buyers will become recurring purchasers. This leads to wasted ad spend on one-time DIY customers and missed opportunities with high-value contractors.

02
The LTV Gap

Conventional ROAS metrics are limited to initial purchases, making it impossible to optimize for customers who will generate the most lifetime value through recurring orders and larger project purchases.

03
A Wasted Data Opportunity

Even companies with robust data warehouses struggle to turn their customer purchase data into actionable insights for smarter bidding strategies across their diverse product catalog.

ADZETA'S SOLUTION

The Plot: How AdZeta Solved It for AirPro Supply

  • Predictive AI Models

    We developed custom machine learning algorithms analyzing AirPro's 120+ customer behavior signals (purchase history, product categories, order frequency, technical documentation downloads) to predict future LTV with high accuracy (e.g., 91%).

  • Value-Based Bidding

    Our platform automatically adjusted bids on Google & Meta based on this predicted customer LTV, not just initial conversion likelihood, ensuring higher bids for potential contractors and recurring purchasers.

  • Unified Data & Signal Delivery

    We integrated marketing, customer, and revenue data to create a complete view, then seamlessly passed predictive LTV signals to ad platforms via API for real-time optimization across product categories.

  • Automated Optimization & Learning

    AdZeta's system continuously learned and improved, automatically adapting bidding strategies as customer behavior patterns and seasonal HVAC demand fluctuated for AirPro.

Control Group Optimizing towards Business-as-usual event: Equipment Purchase CPA Experiment Group Optimizing towards tROAS with predictions powered by AdZeta: Contractor LTV & Retention Likelihood A/B Test

52%

Increase in Average Order Value

Across all product categories, driven by high-intent buyers

76%

Increase in Ad Spend

While maintaining strong profitability metrics

45%

Growth in LTV

Per contractor acquired through predictive targeting

3.8X

Return on Investment

Delivering exceptional value on advertising spend

MEASURABLE IMPACT

High-Value Contractors. Smarter Spend. Sustainable Growth.

AdZeta's predictive LTV targeting didn't just optimize performance—it transformed how AirPro Supply acquires and retains contractors. By prioritizing long-term value over short-term wins, the company attracted a higher-quality contractor base that fueled consistent revenue and scalable growth.

With better targeting and confident ad scaling, every marketing dollar worked harder—delivering not just leads, but loyal, profitable customers.

With AdZeta's AI platform, we've been able to scale our ad spend by 3.8X while significantly increasing the acquisition of our most valuable contractor customers. The predictive LTV insights gave us the confidence to expand our product catalog and enter new regional markets we previously thought were too competitive for our business model.
Client
Jennifer Rodriguez VP of Marketing @ AirPro Supply

Ready to Build Similar Growth for Your E-commerce Brand?

If you're looking to move beyond basic ad metrics and build a truly profitable, scalable customer acquisition engine, AdZeta's Predictive AI and Value-Based Bidding can help.

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