AI-POWERED PROFIT GROWTH

Oakbrew Coffee Gets 3.5X VIP Paying Customers with LTV Predictions

Independent coffee brand Oakbrew Roasters transformed their customer acquisition by partnering with Adzeta to focus on predicted lifetime value, significantly boosting high-value customer growth and optimizing ad spend.

PROJECT HIGHLIGHTS
01

Oakbrew's Business:

Oakbrew Coffee Roasters is an independent, direct-to-consumer brand specializing in ethically sourced, premium roasted coffee beans and subscriptions, dedicated to quality and unique flavor profiles.

02

The Value Detection Challenge:

With a focus on subscription LTV, Oakbrew found standard ad metrics (CPA for first order) didn't identify which new customers would convert to high-value, long-term subscribers.

03

Prior Ad Strategy:

Relied on optimizing Google & Meta ads for initial purchase or website sign-up, leading to unpredictable LTV and difficulty scaling profitable customer acquisition.

04

Enter Adzeta:

Adzeta implemented its Predictive AI to forecast LTV from initial interactions, enabling Value-Based Bidding focused on acquiring high-potential subscribers.

05

Strategic Implementation:

Leveraged first-party data to train LTV models, then integrated predictive signals with Google (tROAS) and Meta (Value Optimization) campaigns. A/B tested against previous strategy.

06

Remarkable Results:

Secured a 3.5x surge in high-value "VIP" customer acquisition and slashed CAC by 50% for these segments, all thanks to Adzeta's predictive LTV insights.

Understanding the Problem

The Challenge: Blind Spend & Missed LTV Opportunities

How traditional e-commerce advertising often fails to identify and efficiently target high-value customers, leading to wasted budget.

Your funnel
without
AdZeta
Optimization event
Sign-up
Your funnel
with
AdZeta
Optimization event
High LTV Purchase
01
Blind Spend Without Optimization

E-commerce brands spend millions on customer acquisition with no way to identify which customers will be profitable long-term. This leads to wasted ad spend on low-value customers and missed opportunities with high-value ones.

02
The LTV Gap

Conventional ROAS metrics are limited to early purchases, making it impossible to optimize for customers who will generate the most lifetime value.

03
A Wasted Data Opportunity

Even companies with robust data warehouses struggle to turn their data into actionable insights for smarter bidding strategies.

ADZETA'S SOLUTION

The Plot: How Adzeta Solved It for Oakbrew Coffee

  • Predictive AI Models

    We developed custom machine learning algorithms analyzing Oakbrew's 100+ customer behavior signals (purchase history, site engagement, product preferences) to predict future LTV with high accuracy (e.g., 92%).

  • Value-Based Bidding

    Our platform automatically adjusted bids on Google & Meta based on this predicted customer LTV, not just initial conversion likelihood, ensuring higher bids for higher potential.

  • Unified Data & Signal Delivery

    We integrated marketing, customer, and revenue data to create a complete view, then seamlessly passed predictive LTV signals to ad platforms via API for real-time optimization.

  • Automated Optimization & Learning

    Adzeta's system continuously learned and improved, automatically adapting bidding strategies as customer behavior patterns and market conditions evolved for Oakbrew.

Control Group Optimizing towards Business-as-usual event: Trial start CPA Experiment Group Optimizing towards tROAS with predictions powered by AdZeta: Subscription & Renewal Likelihood A/B Test

85%

Ad Spend Increase

With maintained ROAS

3.5X

VIP Subscriber Growth

High-value customer acquisition

65%

LTV Increase

Higher customer lifetime value

38%

Retention Boost

90-day subscriber retention

MEASURABLE IMPACT

The Results: High-Value Customers, Less Waste

Adzeta's predictive approach didn't just improve metrics; it fundamentally changed how Oakbrew Coffee acquires customers. By focusing on LTV, they built a higher quality customer base, leading to more predictable revenue and sustainable growth. They could confidently scale their ad spend knowing it was directed towards real profit.

With Adzeta's AI platform, we've been able to scale our ad spend by 3.5x while significantly increasing the acquisition of our most valuable VIP subscribers. The predictive LTV insights gave us the confidence to expand into new channels we previously thought were too risky for our premium coffee brand.
Client
Sarah Johnson Co-Founder @ Oakbrew Coffee Roasters

Ready to Brew Up Similar Growth for Your E-commerce Brand?

If you're looking to move beyond basic ad metrics and build a truly profitable, scalable customer acquisition engine, Adzeta's Predictive AI and Value-Based Bidding can help.

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